Confused about the dangers of dying from the coronavirus or of catching it from somebody who appears healthful? We all are, and the dizzying variations in scientific opinion are now linked to political perspectives. Progressives cite proof that loosening restrictions would price lives and supply small advantage to the economy, when conservatives embrace proof that the dangers are low. We supply a guide to support navigate the tangle of numbers and recommend a way forward.
Google and lots of other individuals show the quantity of instances and deaths (three.six million and 138,840, respectively, by July 17). This invites a uncomplicated calculation for understanding the threat: divide the quantity who have died by the quantity who have been diagnosed. So, the possibility of dying if infected is about three.9%. Right? Well, not so quickly. Six months into the pandemic, neither the quantity of deaths nor the quantity of persons infected is identified.